A record number of New Yorkers are looking to get out of
their apartment leases, fanning fears pandemic-weary residents could opt to
relocate for good.
According to a new survey from RentHop, NYC sublet listings
hit a record high this month, jumping more than 150 percent in average daily listings compared to the first
two weeks in April and a 151 percent increase on the same time last year.
“Even when controlling for seasonality, this spike in sublets is unprecedented,” said RentHop, calling the numbers “early evidence the city may be seeing an outflow of residents to the suburbs or other metropolitan areas.”
Since the city instituted a compulsory coronavirus shutdown,
property owners say young workers in particular have fled the city for their
parents’ homes in the suburbs. News that tech giants including Twitter, Google
and Facebook plan to let their employees work from home indefinitely has real
estate giant Redfin predicting a “seismic” shift towards smaller towns and
cities.
Refin CEO Glenn Kelman said, “Prior to this pandemic, the
housing affordability crisis was already driving people from large cities to
small. Now, more permissive policies around remote work, and a rising wariness
about close quarters, will likely accelerate that trend. Some won’t commute at
all, choosing instead to work completely virtually from a small town, perhaps
where their parents still live. The whole narrative of the past 200 years, of
the young person moving to the big city, may turn a little upside down in the
years ahead.”
According to Refin’s own survey, more than 60 percent of new
Yorkers would consider moving away if they were able to work remotely all of
the time. Their main reason for moving was relief from high costs of living.
“If these trends hold up after the pandemic ends and
people begin leaving high-cost coastal cities for more affordable places,
Redfin expects price-pressure to ease and gentrification to slow,” Redfin
said. “One of the most lasting impacts of this pandemic will be the way it
spreads a once-centralized tech workforce across the country.”
Renthop believes Manhattan’s outsized share of new sublets
may be due to the relatively higher average socioeconomic status of its
residents and their ability to relocate out of the city.
Another factor potentially contributing to May 2020’s sudden
sublet spike could be pent up demand as many renters held off on moving in
late-March / early-April as the lockdown orders had just gone into effect.
The neighborhoods that saw the most significant spikes in
new sublets this month were the Theater District (267 percent above average),
Astoria (267 percent), Yorkville (255 percent), Greenpoint (200 percent
increase), Williamsburg (200 percent increase), the West Village (165 percent
increase), and Battery Park City (160 percent increase).
Photo top: Andy Barnes, Flickr
